Global Economic Confidence in 2025, by Country
Over the last year, the future strength of the global economy has been a mixed picture amid rising protectionism and geopolitical conflict.
In the U.S., growth was resilient—but higher prices, despite cooling inflation, continued to squeeze consumer wallets. European economies faced slower growth, with Germany facing a two-year downturn. In China, property market troubles weighed on consumer confidence and economic growth.
Given this backdrop, how confident are people around the world in the global economy looking ahead to 2025?
This graphic shows global economic sentiment by country, based on survey data from Ipsos that asked respondents whether they felt the global economy would be stronger or weaker in 2025 compared to 2024.
Rising Optimism for the Global Economy in 2025
Below, we show how consumers view the global economy across 33 different countries, drawn from a survey of 23,721 adults between October 25th and November 8th, 2024:
| Country | Region | % Who Agree the Global Economy Will Be Stronger in 2025 vs. 2024 |
Year-Over-Year Change (p.p.) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🇲🇽 Mexico | North America | 60% | -2 |
| 🇺🇸 United States | North America | 54% | +9 |
| 🇨🇦 Canada | North America | 46% | +7 |
| 🇦🇷 Argentina | South America | 61% | +10 |
| 🇧🇷 Brazil | South America | 60% | +0 |
| 🇵🇪 Peru | South America | 60% | +9 |
| 🇨🇱 Chile | South America | 53% | +2 |
| 🇨🇴 Colombia | South America | 51% | -1 |
| 🇷🇴 Romania | Europe | 51% | +6 |
| 🇮🇪 Ireland | Europe | 51% | N/A |
| 🌎 Global Average |
51% | +1 |
Overall, consumers are slightly more optimistic about the global economy going into 2025, with 51% agreeing it will be stronger than in 2024, on average. This is a one percentage point increase from last year’s survey results which were an even 50/50 split.
Going into 2025, the most optimistic countries are in Asia, particularly emerging markets like Indonesia, Malaysia, and India that have benefited from shifting global supply chains and demographic factors. Moreover, Indonesia and India are forecast to see among the fastest real GDP growth across major economies over the next decade.
When it comes to China, 78% of consumers have optimistic views on the global economy while Japan and South Korea are the two countries in Asia with a notably pessimistic outlook for the global economy next year.
This visual is from our 2025 Global Forecast Series presented by Inigo Insurance.
You can get full access to the series which compiles insights from 800+ expert predictions for what will happen in 2025 by becoming a VC+ member today.
In South America, the most optimistic countries include Argentina, Peru, and Brazil. Under President Milei, Argentina has seen its first fiscal surplus in 12 years driven by sweeping budget cuts and reforms. As inflation has plummeted, global economic confidence has significantly improved among Argentinians since last year.
For U.S. consumers, expectations rose by nine percentage points from last year’s survey, resulting in an optimistic majority of 54%. While tariffs stand to add new price pressures, Trump’s proposed tax cuts could help support economic growth.
By contrast, European countries have the most pessimistic views on the global economy. Amid looming trade wars and sustained energy price shocks from the Russia-Ukraine war, seven of the 10 most pessimistic countries were found on the continent.
https://www.visualcapitalist.com/global-economic-confidence-in-2025-by-country/#google_vignette
